Notre Dame-South Florida: By the Numbers

SOUTH BEND, IN - SEPTEMBER 03: B.J. Daniels #7 of the University of South Florida Bulls throws a pass against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Notre Dame Stadium on September 3, 2011 in South Bend, Indiana. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)

Bill Connelly at Football Study Hall put out a great article today on the Notre Dame-South Florida game from this past weekend. Notre Dame put up 500+ yards of offense against the Bulls and lost by three points, 23-20. The game was stopped and restarted because of the inclement weather in South Bend which made things interesting.

As Connelly points out

four touchdowns' worth of turnovers probably would have allowed Notre Dame to escape with a win. Alas. That said, while they were unlucky in terms of turnovers, they were also pretty lucky just to get within three points. The turnovers should have led to a 20-point loss.

Yet, South Florida only won by three. The Bulls really helped their effort by winning the first quarter 13-0. However, they should have gone for three touchdowns and not one. The rushing stats for the Bulls (3 yards per carry) look worse at the end of the game than they were at the time the field goals were attempted. South Florida kicked two field goals on fourth and 1 in the first quarter. The first was from 49 yards out after they didn't want to try to convert a fourth and 1 from the Notre Dame 32. The second field goal was from a measly 17 yards out because South Florida refused to try to punch the ball in from the 1 yard line. Here's the issue (besides my hatred of kicking) South Florida was averaging 5.24 yards per carry on their first two drives. If you don't score from the 1 yard line, your opponent is more often than not making room for their punter to give the ball back to you (although you should really be playing for a safety). Notre Dame wasn't doing anything right in the second quarter so only getting three points on 1/2 from field goal attempts is not good enough either. 

While I haven't finished week one's Positive Impact Factor (what's this?) yet because my computer died right before the first weekend of the season (great timing!), I did take care of this game.

Here's how the quarterbacks looked for this game:

Notre Dame: Tommy Rees: 32.2; Dayne Crist: 22.1; Average: 30.8

South Florida: B.J. Daniels: 66.7

The Notre Dame quarterbacks produced a touchdown on 3.8% of their touches compared to 2.4% from B.J. Daniels. However, the Fighting Irish QBs also turned the ball over on 5.7% of their touches while Daniels had no turnovers. Looking at last year's data, Rees played below his average of 41.5 and Crist played below his average of 25.9. Daniels rose about his average of 41.6. None of the quarterbacks produced touchdowns at last season's rate, but only Crist had a sharp increase in negative plays (incompletions, sacks, fumbles) above his average from 2010. The extremely negative play factor (based on interceptions and fumbles lost) from the two Notre Dame QBs was similar to last year which is a major component to Notre Dame not winning games. If Daniels can be consistent this season, USF might live up to the preseason hype.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Big East Coast Bias

You must be a member of Big East Coast Bias to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Big East Coast Bias. You should read them.

Join Big East Coast Bias

You must be a member of Big East Coast Bias to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Big East Coast Bias. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9347_tracker